It's no longer a question of whether or not there really is a Civil War underway in Iraq (there is), it's no longer even a question of whether or not the country will be divided along ethnic lines (it will). Now it's a question of who gets what.
Informed Comment today reports on a "bloodbath" in Kirkuk:
Oh, wonderful. Now the Sunni Arab fundamentalists want oil-rich Kirkuk to be part of their state. The Kurds also want it, as do the Turkmen. That is going to be a pretty picture.